BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Caelen CarsonDallas Cowboys · #21

Cornerback · 6' 0", 195 lbs · Waldorf, MD · Age 24
Dallas Cowboys rosterMore Cornerbacks
CornerbackDrafted 174th overall2-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex
C
Caelen Carson
◆ Rated
Dallas Cowboys · #21 · Cornerback
Caelen Carson
Season avg17 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 int
Career avg44 tkl · 0 sacks · 0 int
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
Scouting report

Caelen Carson — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

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Cornerback · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Caelen Carson is a Cornerback for the Dallas Cowboys, drafted 174th overall, 2024. In 2025 he recorded 17 tackles.
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Offense
C-
Defense
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Feel / IQ
Act II

Where he stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
✦ Balladex Consensus: #856 of 2270 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
17Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

The engine

How the model sees him

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected next season  confidence
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Everything it reads
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified
Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Dallas Cowboys built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

27–55proj record
#10conf seed
-5.2net rtg
110.3off rtg
115.5def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Adedayo Odeleye, Alijah Clark.
How his role moves
Projected 27–55, 10th in the conference. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2002-03-03

The beginning

Caelen Carson is a Cornerback for the Dallas Cowboys, in his 3rd NFL season.

Dallas Cowboys

Turning pro

Drafted 174th overall, 2024 as a Cornerback.

true

Caelen Carson is a Dallas Cowboys cornerback, drafted 174th overall, 2024.

Chapter

Across 2 seasons (2024–2025) he has recorded 44 tackles, 0 sacks and 0 interceptions.

Chapter

Most recently he posted 17 tackles, 0 sacks and 0 interceptions in 2025.

▶
▶
Carson's story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 0"
Weight
195 lbs
Draft
174th overall, 2024
Born
Waldorf, MD
Age
24
Jersey
#21
Caelen Carson career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Caelen Carson

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