The Index · Live

Tetairoa McMillan Carolina Panthers · #4

Wide Receiver · 6' 5", 212 lbs · Waimanalo, HI · Age 23

Tetairoa McMillan is a Wide Receiver for the Carolina Panthers, drafted 8th overall, 2025. In 2026 he caught 26 passes for 385 yards and 2 touchdowns.

Carolina Panthers roster More Wide Receivers

Wide ReceiverDrafted 8th overall2-yr veteran

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Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Carolina Panthers · #4 · Wide Receiver

Tetairoa McMillan

Season avg26 rec · 385 yds · 2 td

Career avg96 rec · 1,399 yds · 9 td

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

26rec

385yds

2td

LADDER#37 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTetairoa McMillan · Carolina PanthersLADDER#37 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTetairoa McMillan · Carolina Panthers

Scouting report

Tetairoa McMillan — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

Wide Receiver · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Tetairoa McMillan is a Wide Receiver for the Carolina Panthers, drafted 8th overall, 2025. In 2026 he caught 26 passes for 385 yards and 2 touchdowns.

A+

Receiving

B+

Big-play

Scoring

A+

Receiving yards

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

A+

Volume

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

B+

Big-play

Excellent · offense

tap for the data ↓

Scoring

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

A+

Target share

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

Act II

Where Tetairoa McMillan stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #19 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

192Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Tetairoa McMillan — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+

Receiving

385 YDS

drill in ↓

A+

Volume

26 REC

drill in ↓

B+

Big-play

14.8 Y/R

drill in ↓

A+

Scoring

2 TD

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Tetairoa McMillan

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027 modeled

rec

24–59

607

rec yds

355–858

2–6

targets

35–101

games

3–14

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.

What moves the rec line vs last season

Last season 26 → projected 41 rec

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+14.7

Age curve

+0.8

Net vs last season+15.5 rec

Everything it reads

📊

2 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 23 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 17 / 4

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Tetairoa McMillan career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Rec	Yds	TD	Tgt	Y/R
2025	17	70	1,014	7	122	14.5
2026 in progress · 4 games	4	26	385	2	39	14.8
Career	21	96	1,399	9	161

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

CeeDee Lamb 100%Davante Adams 99%Christian Watson 99%Tee Higgins 99%Matthew Golden 99%Jaxon Smith-Njigba 99%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Carolina Panthers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

10–7proj record

86off index

76def index

+28net

76%playoff odds

60roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades A- (86), defense B- (76) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 77, pass rush 53, coverage 99.

How his role moves

Projected 10–7 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Tetairoa McMillan

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2003-04-05

The beginning

Tetairoa McMillan is a Wide Receiver for the Carolina Panthers, in his 2nd NFL season.

Carolina Panthers

Turning pro

Drafted 8th overall, 2025 as a Wide Receiver.

true

Tetairoa McMillan is a Carolina Panthers wide receiver, drafted 8th overall, 2025.

Chapter

Across 2 seasons (2025–2026) he has caught 96 passes for 1,399 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 26 passes for 385 yards and 2 touchdowns in 2026.

▶

McMillan's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Tetairoa McMillan's best plays from 101-yard game vs. Falcons | Week 2 ▶ Every Tetairoa McMillan catch from 100-yard game vs. Cardinals | Week 2 ▶ 87: Tetairoa McMillan (WR, Panthers) | Top 100 Players of 2026 ▶ Tetairoa McMillan is a dawg 😯

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 5"
Weight: 212 lbs
Draft: 8th overall, 2025
Born: Waimanalo, HI
Age: 23
Jersey: #4

Background

Tetairoa McMillan is from Waimanalo, HI and is 23 years old. He was drafted 8th overall, 2025 and plays wide receiver at 6' 5", 212 lbs.

Over 2 seasons (2025–2026) he has caught 96 passes for 1,399 yards and 9 touchdowns. McMillan is currently on the Carolina Panthers roster.

The person

Tetairoa McMillan is a rotational receiver who has caught 96 passes for 1,399 yards and 9 touchdowns across 2 seasons (2025–2026).

Receiving96 career catches, 1,399 yards, 9 touchdowns.

Best season70 catches for 1,014 yards in 2025.

Yards per catch14.6 yards per reception over his career.

First-round pedigree8th overall, 2025.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Tetairoa McMillan — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Tetairoa McMillan, answered.

What position does Tetairoa McMillan play?

Tetairoa McMillan is a Wide Receiver for the Carolina Panthers.

When was Tetairoa McMillan drafted?

Tetairoa McMillan was drafted 8th overall, 2025.

How many seasons has Tetairoa McMillan played?

2 (2025–2026).

What are Tetairoa McMillan's career stats?

He has caught 96 passes for 1,399 yards and 9 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Tetairoa McMillan Carolina Panthers · #4

Tetairoa McMillan — the report card

Where Tetairoa McMillan stands

Tetairoa McMillan — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Tetairoa McMillan

Tetairoa McMillan career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Carolina Panthers built to win?

The Ballad of Tetairoa McMillan

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Tetairoa McMillan — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Carolina Panthers players

Tetairoa McMillan head-to-head

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