The Index · Live

Luther Burden III Chicago Bears · #10

Wide Receiver · 6' 0", 210 lbs · St. Louis, MO · Age 23

Luther Burden III is a Wide Receiver for the Chicago Bears, drafted 39th overall, 2025. In 2026 he caught 19 passes for 219 yards and 1 touchdowns.

Chicago Bears roster More Wide Receivers

Wide ReceiverDrafted 39th overall2-yr veteran

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Chicago Bears · #10 · Wide Receiver

Luther Burden III

Season avg19 rec · 219 yds · 1 td

Career avg66 rec · 871 yds · 3 td

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

19rec

219yds

1td

LADDER#95 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLuther Burden III · Chicago BearsLADDER#95 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLuther Burden III · Chicago Bears

Scouting report

Luther Burden III — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

B+

Wide Receiver · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Luther Burden III is a Wide Receiver for the Chicago Bears, drafted 39th overall, 2025. In 2026 he caught 19 passes for 219 yards and 1 touchdowns.

Receiving

Big-play

B+

Scoring

A-

Receiving yards

Excellent · offense

tap for the data ↓

Volume

Elite · offense

tap for the data ↓

Big-play

Solid · offense

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B+

Scoring

Excellent · offense

tap for the data ↓

Target share

Elite · offense

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Act II

Where Luther Burden III stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #130 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

110Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Luther Burden III — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+

Receiving

219 YDS

drill in ↓

A+

Volume

19 REC

drill in ↓

Big-play

11.5 Y/R

drill in ↓

A+

Scoring

1 TD

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Luther Burden III

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027 modeled

rec

18–40

371

rec yds

197–544

1–2

targets

28–53

games

3–12

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.

What moves the rec line vs last season

Last season 19 → projected 29 rec

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+9.3

Age curve

+0.6

Net vs last season+9.9 rec

Everything it reads

📊

2 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 23 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 15 / 4

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Luther Burden III career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Rec	Yds	TD	Tgt	Y/R
2025	15	47	652	2	60	13.9
2026 in progress · 4 games	4	19	219	1	29	11.5
Career	19	66	871	3	89

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Malik Nabers 99%Nico Collins 99%Kalif Raymond 99%DK Metcalf 99%Michael Wilson 99%Roman Wilson 98%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record

93off index

97def index

+56net

95%playoff odds

65roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades A (93), defense A+ (97) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 89, pass rush 99, coverage 95.

How his role moves

Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Luther Burden III

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2003-12-12

The beginning

Luther Burden III is a Wide Receiver for the Chicago Bears, in his 2nd NFL season.

Chicago Bears

Turning pro

Drafted 39th overall, 2025 as a Wide Receiver.

true

Luther Burden III is a Chicago Bears wide receiver, drafted 39th overall, 2025.

Chapter

Across 2 seasons (2025–2026) he has caught 66 passes for 871 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 19 passes for 219 yards and 1 touchdown in 2026.

▶

III's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Luther Burden III 2023 Season Highlights | Mizzou WR ▶ BEARS SQUAD CARRY LUTHER BURDEN TO THE ENDZONE FOR THE TD

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 0"
Weight: 210 lbs
Draft: 39th overall, 2025
Born: St. Louis, MO
Age: 23
Jersey: #10

Background

Luther Burden III is from St. Louis, MO and is 23 years old. He was drafted 39th overall, 2025 and plays wide receiver at 6' 0", 210 lbs.

Over 2 seasons (2025–2026) he has caught 66 passes for 871 yards and 3 touchdowns. Burden is currently on the Chicago Bears roster.

The person

Luther Burden III is a rotational receiver who has caught 66 passes for 871 yards and 3 touchdowns across 2 seasons (2025–2026).

Receiving66 career catches, 871 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Best season47 catches for 652 yards in 2025.

Yards per catch13.2 yards per reception over his career.

Draft pedigree39th overall, 2025.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Luther Burden III — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Luther Burden III, answered.

What position does Luther Burden III play?

Luther Burden III is a Wide Receiver for the Chicago Bears.

When was Luther Burden III drafted?

Luther Burden III was drafted 39th overall, 2025.

How many seasons has Luther Burden III played?

2 (2025–2026).

What are Luther Burden III's career stats?

He has caught 66 passes for 871 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Luther Burden III career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Luther Burden III Chicago Bears · #10

Luther Burden III — the report card

Where Luther Burden III stands

Luther Burden III — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

The Ballad of Luther Burden III

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Luther Burden III — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Chicago Bears players

Luther Burden III head-to-head

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