The Index · Live

Trey Lance Los Angeles Chargers · #5

Quarterback · 6' 4", 226 lbs · Marshall, MN · Age 26

Trey Lance is a Quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers, drafted 3rd overall, 2021. In 2025 he passed for 226 yards with 0 touchdowns against 1 interceptions.

Los Angeles Chargers roster More Quarterbacks

QuarterbackDrafted 3rd overall4-yr veteran

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Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Los Angeles Chargers · #5 · Quarterback

Trey Lance

Season avg226 pass yds · 0 td · 1 int

Career avg1,289 pass yds · 5 td · 5 int

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

226yds

0td

1int

LADDER#1860 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTrey Lance · Los Angeles ChargersLADDER#1860 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXTrey Lance · Los Angeles Chargers

Scouting report

Trey Lance — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

C-

Quarterback · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Trey Lance is a Quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers, drafted 3rd overall, 2021. In 2025 he passed for 226 yards with 0 touchdowns against 1 inter

C-

Passing

Efficiency

Scoring

C-

Passing volume

Average · offense

tap for the data ↓

Efficiency

Average · offense

tap for the data ↓

Scoring

Average · offense

tap for the data ↓

Accuracy

Average · offense

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C+

Ball security

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

Act II

Where Trey Lance stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #1316 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

109Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Trey Lance — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A-

Passing

226 YDS

drill in ↓

Efficiency

50.8 RTG

drill in ↓

Scoring

0 TD

drill in ↓

Ball security

1 INT

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Trey Lance

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026 modeled

236

pass yds

208–265

0–0

int

1–1

57.8

rating

50.2–65.4

games

3–4

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 4-season history below.

What moves the pass yds line vs last season

Last season 226 → projected 236 pass yds

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+8.0

Age curve

+2.3

Net vs last season+10.3 pass yds

Everything it reads

📊

4 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 26 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 2 / 4 / 4

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Trey Lance career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Cmp%	Yds	TD	INT	Rate
2021	6	57.7	603	5	2	97.3
2022	2	48.4	194	0	1	55.0
2024	4	61.0	266	0	1	69.8
2025	4	47.4	226	0	1	50.8
Career	16		1,289	5	5

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Jalen Milroe 97%Kyle Allen 97%Gardner Minshew II 97%Zach Wilson 95%Sam Howell 95%Kenny Pickett 94%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Los Angeles Chargers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

9–8proj record

57off index

85def index

+8net

54%playoff odds

66roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades C- (57), defense B+ (85) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 29, pass rush 70, coverage 99.

How his role moves

Projected 9–8 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Trey Lance

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2000-05-09

The beginning

Trey Lance is a Quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers, in his 6th NFL season.

Los Angeles Chargers

Turning pro

Drafted 3rd overall, 2021 as a Quarterback.

true

Trey Lance is a Los Angeles Chargers quarterback, drafted 3rd overall, 2021.

Chapter

Across 4 seasons (2021–2025) he has thrown for 1,289 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he passed for 226 yards with 0 touchdowns and a 50.8 rating in 2025.

▶

Lance's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Trey Lance's best plays from 2-TD game | Hall of Fame Game ▶ Trey Lance Making Plays Through the Air and on the Ground | NFL Week 1 2022 Season

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 226 lbs
Draft: 3rd overall, 2021
Born: Marshall, MN
Age: 26
Jersey: #5

Background

Trey Lance is from Marshall, MN and is 26 years old. He was drafted 3rd overall, 2021 and plays quarterback at 6' 4", 226 lbs.

Over 4 seasons (2021–2025) he has thrown for 1,289 yards and 5 touchdowns. Lance is currently on the Los Angeles Chargers roster.

The person

Trey Lance is a developmental quarterback who has thrown for 1,289 yards and 5 touchdowns across 4 seasons (2021–2025).

Passing production1,289 career passing yards with 5 touchdowns and 5 interceptions.

Best seasonThrew for 603 yards and 5 TDs in 2021.

Ball securityA 1.0:1 career touchdown-to-interception ratio.

First-round pedigree3rd overall, 2021.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Trey Lance — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Trey Lance, answered.

What position does Trey Lance play?

Trey Lance is a Quarterback for the Los Angeles Chargers.

When was Trey Lance drafted?

Trey Lance was drafted 3rd overall, 2021.

How many seasons has Trey Lance played?

4 (2021–2025).

What are Trey Lance's career stats?

He has thrown for 1,289 yards and 5 touchdowns.

Trey Lance career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Trey Lance Los Angeles Chargers · #5

Trey Lance — the report card

Where Trey Lance stands

Trey Lance — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Trey Lance

Trey Lance career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Los Angeles Chargers built to win?

The Ballad of Trey Lance

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Trey Lance — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Los Angeles Chargers players

Trey Lance head-to-head

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