The Index · Live

Jared McCain Oklahoma City Thunder · #3

Guard · 6'3", 195 lb · Sacramento, CA · Age 22 · 3rd season

Jared McCain is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder who has played 90 games over 2 seasons, averaging 8.3 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 2025-26.

Oklahoma City Thunder roster More Guards

MVP race · #516Guard rank · #189Balladex Impact · 52

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Oklahoma City Thunder · #3 · Guard

Jared McCain

Season avg10.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.9 ast · .462 fg

Career avg10.1 pts · 2.1 reb · 1.7 ast · .430 fg

Live win probabilityRockets 54%

Balladex model · projected 116–116 · 98.2 pace

Tonight's projectionmodel

8.2pts

1.6reb

0.7ast

46%win

Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head

Jared McCain

Oklahoma City Thunder · Guard

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Amen Thompson

Houston Rockets · Strong defender

Category breakout

Head-to-head history

Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.

LADDER#516 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 52 — Rotation piece tierINDEXJared McCain · Oklahoma City ThunderLADDER#516 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 52 — Rotation piece tierINDEXJared McCain · Oklahoma City Thunder

Scouting report

Jared McCain — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

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Guard · Rotation piece · Impact 52

Jared McCain is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder who has played 90 games over 2 seasons, averaging 8.3 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 20

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Offense

C-

Defense

C-

Feel / IQ

C-

Playmaking

Below average creator

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Scoring

Below average scorer

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Rebounding

Below average on the glass

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3PT / spacing

Below average spacing

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Perimeter D

Below average on the perimeter

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Paint / rim D

Below average at the rim

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Clutch

Below average late

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Athleticism

Below average tools

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Basketball IQ

Reads the game

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Durability

Availability

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Act II

Where Jared McCain stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬

43%

Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬

23%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬

19%

Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬

Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #397 of 627 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

52Impact index

31Star score

Career scoring average10.1 ppg

Seasons in the index3

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Jared McCain — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

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Scoring

10.4 PPG

drill in ↓

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Playmaking

0.9 APG

drill in ↓

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Rebounding

2.1 RPG

drill in ↓

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Shooting

.391 3P%

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Jared McCain

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27 40% confidence

7.1

pts

3.5–10.7

2.1

reb

0.5–3.7

1.2

ast

-0.2–2.6

15.9

min

proj

health

.425

fg%

~base

.384

3p%

~base

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Last season 8.3 → projected 7.1 PPG

Minutes / role

-0.7

Development (his trend)

-0.8

Age curve

+0.1

Live context

+0.2

Net vs last season-1.2 PPG

Everything it reads

📊

3 seasons of per-minute rates

every box line, minutes-normalized

real

⚖

Recency × games-played weight

recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Weighted least-squares trend

his own trajectory, read season over season

+dev

🕰

Per-stat aging curves

age 22 — applied per stat

curve

🔌

Live role context

usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present

+ctx

🏥

Durability signal

GP last 3: 23 / 37 / 30 → games & confidence

health

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Jared McCain career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%
2024-25	23	25.7	15.3	2.4	2.6	.460	.383
2025-26 (Philadelphia)	37	16.8	6.6	2.0	1.7	.385	.378
2025-26 (Oklahoma City)	30	18.0	10.4	2.1	0.9	.462	.391
Career	90	19.5	10.1	2.1	1.7

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Oklahoma City Thunder built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

70–12proj record

#1conf seed

+12.5net rtg

118.3off rtg

105.8def rtg

99%playoff odds

Roster delta · what changed

Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren.

How his role moves

Projected 70–12, 1st in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

52 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Jared McCain

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2004-02-20

The beginning

Jared McCain is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Turning pro

Drafted 16th overall, 2024 as a Guard.

true

Jared McCain is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chapter

He has played 90 games over 2 seasons (2024-26), averaging 19.5 minutes a night. The season-by-season table below carries every per-game figure, each one reconciled against ESPN.

Chapter

In 2025-26 he played 67 games across 2 teams, averaging 8.3 points, 2.0 rebounds and 1.3 assists in 17.3 minutes.

▶

McCain's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables ESPN

Active

Height: 6' 3"
Weight: 195 lbs
College: Duke
Experience: 3rd Season
Draft: 16th overall, 2024
Born: Sacramento, CA
Age: 22
Jersey: #3

Beyond the game

Jared McCain is from Sacramento, CA, born 2004-02-20, listed at 6'3" and 195 lb. He has 3 seasons of NBA service. This background is assembled from league records; the colour that fills a page like this comes later, from a human.

The person

A guard on 19.5 career minutes a night, read from the box score rather than the eye test.

Bench depth17.3 minutes a night; situational.

Floor spacerShooting 39.1% from three.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN

FAQ

Jared McCain — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Jared McCain, answered.

What position does Jared McCain play?

Jared McCain is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

How many NBA games has Jared McCain played?

90 regular-season games over 2 seasons, averaging 19.5 minutes.

How many NBA seasons has Jared McCain played?

2 seasons (2024-26).

How tall is Jared McCain?

6'3", 195 lb

Jared McCain career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Jared McCain Oklahoma City Thunder · #3

Jared McCain — the report card

Where Jared McCain stands

Jared McCain — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Jared McCain

Jared McCain career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Oklahoma City Thunder built to win?

The Ballad of Jared McCain

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the court

Jared McCain — frequently asked

Availability & durability

More Oklahoma City Thunder players

Other Guards to compare