The Index · Live

Davis Mills Houston Texans · #10

Quarterback · 6' 4", 225 lbs · Duluth, GA · Age 28

Davis Mills is a Quarterback for the Houston Texans, drafted 67th overall, 2021. In 2025 he passed for 915 yards with 5 touchdowns against 1 interceptions.

Houston Texans roster More Quarterbacks

QuarterbackDrafted 67th overall5-yr veteran

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Houston Texans · #10 · Quarterback

Davis Mills

Season avg915 pass yds · 5 td · 1 int

Career avg7,082 pass yds · 40 td · 26 int

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

915yds

5td

1int

LADDER#54 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXDavis Mills · Houston TexansLADDER#54 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXDavis Mills · Houston Texans

Scouting report

Davis Mills — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

C+

Quarterback · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Davis Mills is a Quarterback for the Houston Texans, drafted 67th overall, 2021. In 2025 he passed for 915 yards with 5 touchdowns against 1 intercept

C+

Passing

Efficiency

B-

Scoring

C+

Passing volume

Solid · offense

tap for the data ↓

C+

Efficiency

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

C+

Scoring

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

C-

Accuracy

Solid · offense

tap for the data ↓

B-

Ball security

Strong · offense

tap for the data ↓

Act II

Where Davis Mills stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #668 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

330Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Davis Mills — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+

Passing

915 YDS

drill in ↓

C+

Efficiency

81.6 RTG

drill in ↓

A+

Scoring

5 TD

drill in ↓

Ball security

1 INT

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Davis Mills

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026 modeled

540

pass yds

243–837

1–5

int

0–1

77.8

rating

73.1–82.5

games

5–6

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 5-season history below.

What moves the pass yds line vs last season

Last season 915 → projected 540 pass yds

Baseline (recency-weighted)

-358.0

Age curve

-16.7

Net vs last season-374.7 pass yds

Everything it reads

📊

5 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 28 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 6 / 4 / 6

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Davis Mills career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Cmp%	Yds	TD	INT	Rate
2021	13	66.8	2,664	16	10	88.8
2022	15	61.0	3,118	17	15	78.8
2023	6	46.2	173	2	0	76.1
2024	4	55.6	212	0	0	72.9
2025	6	57.2	915	5	1	81.6
Career	44		7,082	40	26

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Dillon Gabriel 98%Shane Buechele 97%Tommy DeVito 97%Aidan O'Connell 96%Jayden Daniels 96%Justin Fields 95%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Houston Texans built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record

83off index

99def index

+48net

95%playoff odds

65roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades B+ (83), defense A+ (99) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 73, pass rush 99, coverage 99.

How his role moves

Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Davis Mills

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1998-10-21

The beginning

Davis Mills is a Quarterback for the Houston Texans, in his 6th NFL season.

Houston Texans

Turning pro

Drafted 67th overall, 2021 as a Quarterback.

true

Davis Mills is a Houston Texans quarterback, drafted 67th overall, 2021.

Chapter

Across 5 seasons (2021–2025) he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he passed for 915 yards with 5 touchdowns and a 81.6 rating in 2025.

▶

Mills's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Mills dives for the pylon for lead-changing TD ▶ Davis Mills' best throws from 3-TD game | NFL 2021 Highlights ▶ Lathan Ransom picks off Davis MIlls ▶ Davis Mills vs. Colts Top Plays | NFL 2022 Week 1

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 225 lbs
Draft: 67th overall, 2021
Born: Duluth, GA
Age: 28
Jersey: #10

Background

Davis Mills is from Duluth, GA and is 28 years old. He was drafted 67th overall, 2021 and plays quarterback at 6' 4", 225 lbs.

Over 5 seasons (2021–2025) he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns. Mills is currently on the Houston Texans roster.

The person

Davis Mills is a spot starter under center who has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns across 5 seasons (2021–2025).

Passing production7,082 career passing yards with 40 touchdowns and 26 interceptions.

Best seasonThrew for 3,118 yards and 17 TDs in 2022.

Ball securityA 1.5:1 career touchdown-to-interception ratio.

Draft pedigree67th overall, 2021.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Davis Mills — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Davis Mills, answered.

What position does Davis Mills play?

Davis Mills is a Quarterback for the Houston Texans.

When was Davis Mills drafted?

Davis Mills was drafted 67th overall, 2021.

How many seasons has Davis Mills played?

5 (2021–2025).

What are Davis Mills's career stats?

He has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns.

Davis Mills career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Davis Mills Houston Texans · #10

Davis Mills — the report card

Where Davis Mills stands

Davis Mills — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Davis Mills

Davis Mills career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Houston Texans built to win?

The Ballad of Davis Mills

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the field

Davis Mills — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Houston Texans players

Davis Mills head-to-head

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