The Index · Live

Nico Collins Houston Texans · #12

Wide Receiver · 6' 4", 222 lbs · Birmingham, AL · Age 27

Nico Collins is a Wide Receiver for the Houston Texans, drafted 89th overall, 2021. In 2026 he caught 14 passes for 193 yards and 3 touchdowns.

Wide ReceiverDrafted 89th overall6-yr veteran
⚖ Quick compare
N
Nico Collins
◆ Rated
Houston Texans · #12 · Wide Receiver
Nico Collins
Season avg14 rec · 193 yds · 3 td
Career avg303 rec · 4,540 yds · 27 td
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
14rec
193yds
3td
LADDER#1595 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXNico Collins · Houston TexansLADDER#1595 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXNico Collins · Houston Texans
Scouting report

Nico Collins — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

B+
Wide Receiver · Rotation piece · Impact 50
Nico Collins is a Wide Receiver for the Houston Texans, drafted 89th overall, 2021. In 2026 he caught 14 passes for 193 yards and 3 touchdowns.
A-
Receiving
B-
Big-play
A-
Scoring
A-
Receiving yards
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
A-
Volume
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
B-
Big-play
Strong · offense
tap for the data ↓
A-
Scoring
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
A-
Target share
Excellent · offense
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Nico Collins stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬
29%
2
Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬
23%
3
Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬
22%
4
Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬
11%
5
Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬
9%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #93 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
50Impact index
390Star score
Career scoring average0.0 ppg
Seasons in the index0
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Nico Collins — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

A+
Receiving
193 YDS
drill in ↓
A+
Volume
14 REC
drill in ↓
B
Big-play
13.8 Y/R
drill in ↓
A+
Scoring
3 TD
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Nico Collins

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2027  modeled
42
rec
19–65
637
rec yds
267–1006
5
td
3–6
66
targets
25–106
8
games
3–13
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 6-season history below.
What moves the rec line vs last season
Last season 14 → projected 42 rec
Baseline (recency-weighted)
+28.0
Age curve
+0.0
Net vs last season+28.0 rec
Everything it reads
📊
6 seasons of real box production
every game line, verified
real
⚖
Recency × games weight
recent, healthy years anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Year-over-year trend
his own trajectory, season to season
+dev
🕰
Position aging curve
age 27 — applied to the projection
curve
🏈
Role & usage context
target / carry share and snaps fold in
+ctx
🏥
Availability signal
games last 3: 12 / 15 / 2
health
The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Nico Collins career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGRecYdsTDTgtY/R
2021143344616013.5
2022103748126613.0
202315801,297810916.2
202412681,00679914.8
202515711,117612015.7
2026 in progress · 2 games21419331813.8
Career683034,54027472
Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.
Context

Are the Houston Texans built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record
83off index
99def index
+48net
95%playoff odds
65roster
Roster delta · what changed
Offense grades B+ (83), defense A+ (99) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 73, pass rush 99, coverage 99.
How his role moves
Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
50 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Nico Collins

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1999-03-19

The beginning

Nico Collins is a Wide Receiver for the Houston Texans, in his 6th NFL season.

Houston Texans

Turning pro

Drafted 89th overall, 2021 as a Wide Receiver.

true

Nico Collins is a Houston Texans wide receiver, drafted 89th overall, 2021.

Chapter

Across 6 seasons (2021–2026) he has caught 303 passes for 4,540 yards and 27 touchdowns.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 14 passes for 193 yards and 3 touchdowns in 2026.

Off the field

Measurables
Active
Height
6' 4"
Weight
222 lbs
Draft
89th overall, 2021
Born
Birmingham, AL
Age
27
Jersey
#12
Background

Nico Collins is from Birmingham, AL and is 27 years old. He was drafted 89th overall, 2021 and plays wide receiver at 6' 4", 222 lbs.

Over 6 seasons (2021–2026) he has caught 303 passes for 4,540 yards and 27 touchdowns. Collins is currently on the Houston Texans roster.

The person

Nico Collins is a starting-caliber wide receiver who has caught 303 passes for 4,540 yards and 27 touchdowns across 6 seasons (2021–2026).

Receiving303 career catches, 4,540 yards, 27 touchdowns.
Best season80 catches for 1,297 yards in 2023.
Yards per catch15.0 yards per reception over his career.
Draft pedigree89th overall, 2021.
Durability68 career games played.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Nico Collins — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Nico Collins, answered.

What position does Nico Collins play?
Nico Collins is a Wide Receiver for the Houston Texans.
When was Nico Collins drafted?
Nico Collins was drafted 89th overall, 2021.
How many seasons has Nico Collins played?
6 (2021–2026).
What are Nico Collins's career stats?
He has caught 303 passes for 4,540 yards and 27 touchdowns.
Nico Collins career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Nico Collins

War Room · Draft

The War Room's draft verdict on Nico Collins

AI analyst opinion · grounded in the model below
Model rank
WR8
#18 overall
Proj / game
16.4
Tier 2 · PPR
Draft cost
Rd 2
model draft cost, illustrative
Schedule
65
matchup score 0–100
VALUEat his current draft costThe Scout· Talent & projection

A big-play alpha the market underrates.

1,117 yards on just 71 catches in 2025 — a 15.7-yard average among the best at the position. The model projects WR9 near 15.8 PPG and rising. At a Round 2 cost, that downfield role in an up-tempo Houston offense is a clean value.

Projection is a Balladex model estimate, illustrative. The War Room's verdict is argued opinion. Real stats: 2025 season. · Updated Aug 28, 2026

Current role & opportunity

Usage last season · depth chart current · nflverse
Depth chart
WR1
listed starter
Snap share
71%
of offensive snaps
Target share
13%
WOPR 0.30
Listed as the starter (WR1) on the current depth chart

This role & opportunity data feeds the model's competition-aware projection — snap and target share from last season, depth-chart rank from the current roster.

Weekly matchups

Fantasy points allowed by position · 2026 schedule · Balladex
Next matchup
vs BUF
Week 1 · Smash
Season outlook
65
avg matchup score (0–100)
Smash / Tough
2 / 2
weeks favorable / tough
Playoff weeks
64
Wk 15–17 outlook
W1 vs BUFW2 vs CINW3 @ INDW4 vs DALW5 @ TENW6 @ JAXW7 vs NYGW8 · BYEW9 @ LACW10 @ CLEW11 vs INDW12 vs BALW13 @ PITW14 @ WASW15 vs JAXW16 @ PHIW17 @ GBW18 vs TEN

Each week grades Nico Collins's opponent by the fantasy points that defense allowed to his position (2025), tiered Smash → Avoid. A transparent Balladex model estimate; see the full weekly matchups grid.

Injury history

Weekly injury reports · nflverse
Injury episodes
15
since 2021
Games missed
9
listed Out
Lower-body
12
ankle / knee / soft-tissue
Concussions
1
head, reported
Most recent reports
2026 Wk4 · Hamstring2026 Wk3 · Hamstring (Out)2026 Wk2 · Hamstring (Out)2025 Wk20 · Concussion (Out)2025 Wk12 · Ankle2025 Wk9 · Concussion

Home surface: astroturf (artificial turf). Artificial turf is associated with higher rates of non-contact lower-body injuries — ankle, foot and knee — in NFL studies. It is not linked to concussion risk, which is contact-driven.

Real weekly injury-report history (game-status designations, most recent 6 seasons). Rest days and load-management designations are excluded.

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Nico Collins head-to-head

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