The Index · Live

Stephen Carlson Chicago Bears · #88

Tight End · 6' 4", 248 lbs · Jamestown, NY · Age 30

Stephen Carlson is a Tight End for the Chicago Bears, an undrafted signing. In 2020 he caught 1 passes for 11 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Chicago Bears roster More Tight Ends

Tight EndUndrafted2-yr veteran

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Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Chicago Bears · #88 · Tight End

Stephen Carlson

Season avg1 rec · 11 yds · 0 td

Career avg6 rec · 62 yds · 1 td

Live win probabilitySeason

No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.

Tonight's projectionmodel

1rec

11yds

0td

LADDER#356 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXStephen Carlson · Chicago BearsLADDER#356 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 50 — Rotation piece tierINDEXStephen Carlson · Chicago Bears

Scouting report

Stephen Carlson — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades are percentiles vs every active player at his position.

C-

Tight End · Rotation piece · Impact 50

Stephen Carlson is a Tight End for the Chicago Bears, an undrafted signing. In 2020 he caught 1 passes for 11 yards and 0 touchdowns.

Receiving

B+

Big-play

C-

Scoring

Receiving yards

Average · offense

tap for the data ↓

Volume

Average · offense

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C-

Scoring

Solid · offense

tap for the data ↓

B+

Big-play

Excellent · offense

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Target share

Average · offense

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Act II

Where Stephen Carlson stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Jared Goff Detroit Lions▬

29%

Bryce Young Carolina Panthers▬

23%

Brock Purdy San Francisco 49ers▬

22%

Tyler Shough New Orleans Saints▬

11%

Kirk Cousins Las Vegas Raiders▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #1283 of 1982 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

50Impact index

15Star score

Career scoring average0.0 ppg

Seasons in the index0

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Stephen Carlson — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C+

Receiving

11 YDS

drill in ↓

C+

Volume

1 REC

drill in ↓

B+

Big-play

11.0 Y/R

drill in ↓

C-

Scoring

0 TD

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Stephen Carlson

Projection = recency-weighted per-season production, nudged along a position aging curve, banded by his year-to-year volatility. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2021 modeled

rec

1–4

rec yds

6–38

0–1

targets

1–5

games

11–16

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 2-season history below.

What moves the rec line vs last season

Last season 1 → projected 2 rec

Baseline (recency-weighted)

+1.3

Age curve

-0.2

Net vs last season+1.1 rec

Everything it reads

📊

2 seasons of real box production

every game line, verified

real

⚖

Recency × games weight

recent, healthy years anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Year-over-year trend

his own trajectory, season to season

+dev

🕰

Position aging curve

age 30 — applied to the projection

curve

🏈

Role & usage context

target / carry share and snaps fold in

+ctx

🏥

Availability signal

games last 3: 9 / 16

health

The real history it trains onsource: Pro-Football-Reference / ESPN · verified

Stephen Carlson career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	G	Rec	Yds	TD	Tgt	Y/R
2019	9	5	51	1	7	10.2
2020	16	1	11	0	2	11.0
Career	25	6	62	1	9

Source: Pro-Football-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers the report-card percentiles and the DNA radar — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = award / milestone season · hover any bar. Real season totals.

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

Brenden Bates 94%Stone Smartt 94%Ben Yurosek 94%Hunter Long 94%Quintin Morris 93%Luke Farrell 92%

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Context

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

12–5proj record

93off index

97def index

+56net

95%playoff odds

65roster

Roster delta · what changed

Offense grades A (93), defense A+ (97) by our position-percentile roster model. QB play indexes at 89, pass rush 99, coverage 95.

How his role moves

Projected 12–5 on a 17-game slate — modeled from the current roster's production percentiles, not a calibrated Vegas line. His snaps, target/carry share and usage move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

50 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Stephen Carlson

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1996-12-12

The beginning

Stephen Carlson is a Tight End for the Chicago Bears, in his 4th NFL season.

true

Stephen Carlson is a Chicago Bears tight end, an undrafted find.

Chapter

Across 2 seasons (2019–2020) he has caught 6 passes for 62 yards and 1 touchdown.

Chapter

Most recently he caught 1 pass for 11 yards and 0 touchdowns in 2020.

Where things stand

Where Carlson goes from here.

▶

Carlson's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the field

Measurables

Active

Height: 6' 4"
Weight: 248 lbs
Born: Jamestown, NY
Age: 30
Jersey: #88

Background

Stephen Carlson is from Jamestown, NY and is 30 years old. He entered the NFL as an undrafted free agent and plays tight end at 6' 4", 248 lbs.

Over 2 seasons (2019–2020) he has caught 6 passes for 62 yards and 1 touchdowns. Carlson is currently on the Chicago Bears roster.

The person

Stephen Carlson is a blocking and depth tight end who has caught 6 passes for 62 yards and 1 touchdowns across 2 seasons (2019–2020).

Receiving6 career receptions for 62 yards and 1 touchdowns.

Best season5 catches for 51 yards in 2019.

UndraftedEarned a roster spot after going undrafted.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN ESPN ESPN

FAQ

Stephen Carlson — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Stephen Carlson, answered.

What position does Stephen Carlson play?

Stephen Carlson is a Tight End for the Chicago Bears.

When was Stephen Carlson drafted?

Stephen Carlson entered the NFL as an undrafted free agent.

How many seasons has Stephen Carlson played?

2 (2019–2020).

What are Stephen Carlson's career stats?

He has caught 6 passes for 62 yards and 1 touchdown.

Stephen Carlson career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Stephen Carlson Chicago Bears · #88

Stephen Carlson — the report card

Where Stephen Carlson stands

Stephen Carlson — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Stephen Carlson

Stephen Carlson career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Chicago Bears built to win?

The Ballad of Stephen Carlson

The beginning

true

Chapter

Chapter

Where things stand

Off the field

Stephen Carlson — frequently asked

Current role & opportunity

Weekly matchups

Injury history

More Chicago Bears players

Stephen Carlson head-to-head

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