BALLADEX
The Index · Live

Al HorfordGolden State Warriors · #20

Center · 6'8", 240 lb · Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic · Age 40 · 19th season

Al Horford is a veteran stretch-five for the Golden State Warriors — a five-time All-Star, 2024 NBA champion (the first Dominican-born champion), and one of the most respected professionals in the league. A two-time NCAA champion at Florida and the 3rd pick in 2007, 'Big Al' provides floor-spacing, defense, and leadership. He signed with Golden State in 2025.

Golden State Warriors rosterMore Centers
MVP race · #233Center rank · #9Balladex Impact · 77
⚖ Quick compare
Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex · Updated
A
Al Horford
⬢ Rare
Golden State Warriors · #20 · Center
Al Horford
Season avg8.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 2.6 ast · .426 fg
Career avg12.7 pts · 7.8 reb · 3.2 ast · .503 fg
Live win probabilityWarriors 53%
Balladex model · projected 117–117 · 98.1 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
7.3pts
4.3reb
2.4ast
53%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Al Horford
Golden State Warriors · Center
C-
vs
85
Alperen Sengun
Houston Rockets · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#233 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 77 — Star starter tierINDEXAl Horford · Golden State WarriorsLADDER#233 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 77 — Star starter tierINDEXAl Horford · Golden State Warriors
Scouting report

Al Horford — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

B
Veteran Stretch Big · Impact 77
Al Horford is a veteran stretch-five for the Golden State Warriors — a five-time All-Star, 2024 NBA champion (the first Dominican-born champion), and
C-
Offense
C+
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
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C-
Scoring
Average scorer
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B
Rebounding
Strong on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
tap for the data ↓
C
Perimeter D
Average on the perimeter
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B
Paint / rim D
Excellent at the rim
tap for the data ↓
C
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
tap for the data ↓
C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
C
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Al Horford stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN▬
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL▬
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC▬
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA▬
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS▬
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN▬
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI▬
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #34 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
77Impact index
434Star score
Career scoring average12.7 ppg
Seasons in the index19
Accolades on file3
1× NBA Champion (2024) · 5× NBA All-Star
Stat explorer

Al Horford — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Scoring
8.3 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
2.6 APG
drill in ↓
B
Rebounding
4.9 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.361 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Al Horford

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  60% confidence
7.5
pts
5.0–10.0
4.3
reb
3.1–5.5
2.4
ast
1.4–3.4
19.9
min
proj
53
gp
health
.451
fg%
~base
.385
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 19-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 8.3 → projected 7.5 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.6
Development (his trend)
+0.1
Age curve
-0.5
Live context
+0.2
Net vs last season-0.8 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
19 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 40 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 65 / 60 / 45 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Al Horford career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2007-088131.410.19.71.5.498.000
2008-096733.511.59.32.4.525.000
2009-108135.114.29.92.3.5511.000
2010-117735.115.39.33.5.557.500
2011-121131.612.47.02.2.553.000
2012-137437.217.410.23.2.543.500
2013-142933.018.68.42.6.567.364
2014-157630.515.27.23.2.538.306
2015-168232.115.27.33.2.505.344
2016-176832.314.06.85.0.473.355
2017-187231.612.97.44.7.489.429
2018-196829.013.66.74.2.535.360
2019-206730.211.96.84.0.450.350
2020-212827.914.26.73.4.450.368
2021-226929.110.27.73.4.467.336
2022-236330.59.86.23.0.476.446
2023-246526.88.66.42.6.511.419
2024-256027.79.06.22.1.423.363
2025-26 BOS4521.58.34.92.6.426.361
Career118331.212.77.83.2
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Golden State Warriors built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

40–42proj record
#10conf seed
-0.5net rtg
113.8off rtg
114.4def rtg
31%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Core trending steady. Defensive anchors: Draymond Green, De'Anthony Melton.
How his role moves
Projected 40–42, 10th in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
77 of 99
Star starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rare
Rank #99 of 715 in NBA.
Résumé
3 accolades
1× NBA Champion (2024) · 5× NBA All-Star · 2× NCAA Champion (2006, 2007)
Act IV

The Ballad of Al Horford

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Jun 3, 1986

The beginning

A respected veteran stretch-five and champion — floor-spacing, defense, and leadership for the Warriors.

Golden State Warriors

Turning pro

Drafted 3rd overall, 2007 as a Center.

true

A respected veteran and 2024 champion — the first Dominican-born NBA champion, now a Warrior.

Chapter

A two-time NCAA champion at Florida, Horford was drafted 3rd in 2007 and became a five-time All-Star.

Chapter

He won the 2024 NBA title with Boston — the first Dominican-born NBA champion.

▶
▶
Horford's story
The documentary, narrated

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 8"
Weight
240 lbs
College
Florida
Experience
19th Season
NBA debut
2007
Draft
3rd overall, 2007
Born
Puerto Plata, Dominican Republic
Age
40
Jersey
#20
Beyond the game

Horford is a proud Dominican trailblazer and one of the NBA's model professionals: the son of an NBA father, married to former Miss Universe Amelia Vega, and a father of five, he's widely respected for his longevity, humility, and leadership. He became the first Dominican-born NBA champion in 2024, a landmark for basketball in his home country.

His identity is versatile, low-maintenance two-way play — a stretch big who spaces the floor, defends multiple positions, and does the winning things without demanding touches. For an aging, injury-hit Warriors team, his shooting, defense, and veteran steadiness are exactly the complementary profile a contender values around Curry and Green.

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The person

A versatile, respected veteran stretch big — floor-spacing, defense, and championship leadership.

Stretch-fiveA reliable three-point shooter who spaces the floor from center.
Versatile defenderDefends multiple positions with IQ and positioning.
ProfessionalA five-time All-Star, 2024 champion, and model veteran.
Verified profiles & sources
WikipediaNBA.comBasketball-ReferenceESPN
FAQ

Al Horford — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Al Horford, answered.

What makes Al Horford historically significant?
He became the first Dominican-born NBA champion when he won the 2024 title with Boston.
How did Al Horford join the Warriors?
He signed a two-year, $12 million free-agent deal with Golden State in October 2025.
What are Al Horford's college achievements?
Two NCAA championships at Florida (2006, 2007) before Atlanta drafted him 3rd overall in 2007.
Al Horford career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Al Horford

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
77%
19 seasons
Last 3 seasons
69%
76 games missed
Games missed
338
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
68
16-17
72
17-18
68
18-19
67
19-20
28
20-21
69
21-22
63
22-23
65
23-24
60
24-25
45
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady — 69% of games over the last three seasons, low of 17% in 2011-12.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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