The Index · Live

Franz WagnerOrlando Magic · #22

Forward · 6'10", 220 lb · Berlin, Germany · Age 25 · 5th season

Franz Wagner is a 6-foot-10 two-way forward for the Orlando Magic and Paolo Banchero's co-star. Drafted 8th in 2021 out of Michigan, he grew into a lead scorer (around 24 points a game) and signed a five-year max extension. A German international, he won gold with Germany at both the 2023 World Cup and EuroBasket 2025, playing alongside his older brother and Magic teammate Moritz Wagner.

MVP race · #113Forward rank · #37Balladex Impact · 64
⚖ Quick compare
F
Franz Wagner
◆ Rated
Orlando Magic · #22 · Forward
Franz Wagner
Season avg20.6 pts · 5.2 reb · 3.3 ast · .481 fg
Career avg19.3 pts · 4.9 reb · 3.6 ast · .476 fg
Live win probabilityKnicks 64%
Balladex model · projected 119–115 · 98.4 pace
Tonight's projectionmodel
22.6pts
5.5reb
4.1ast
36%win
Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head
Franz Wagner
Orlando Magic · Forward
C
vs
84
OG Anunoby
New York Knicks · Strong defender
Category breakout
Head-to-head history
Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.
LADDER#113 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXFranz Wagner · Orlando MagicLADDER#113 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXFranz Wagner · Orlando Magic
Scouting report

Franz Wagner — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Secondary Creator · Wing Scorer · Impact 64
Franz Wagner is a 6-foot-10 two-way forward for the Orlando Magic and Paolo Banchero's co-star. Drafted 8th in 2021 out of Michigan, he grew into a le
C
Offense
C
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
D
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
B-
Scoring
Strong scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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B-
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C+
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
D
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Franz Wagner stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #87 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
64Impact index
149Star score
Career scoring average19.3 ppg
Seasons in the index5
Accolades on file3
1× All-Rookie First Team (2022) · 🥇 World Cup gold (2023)
Stat explorer

Franz Wagner — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B-
Scoring
20.6 PPG
drill in ↓
D
Playmaking
3.3 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.2 RPG
drill in ↓
C
Shooting
.345 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Franz Wagner

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  66% confidence
21.9
pts
19.2–24.6
5.4
reb
4.3–6.5
3.5
ast
2.6–4.4
30.1
min
proj
49
gp
health
.476
fg%
~base
.313
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 5-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 20.6 → projected 21.9 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.1
Development (his trend)
+0.6
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season+1.3 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
5 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 25 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 72 / 60 / 34 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Franz Wagner career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2021-227930.715.24.52.9.468.354
2022-238032.618.64.13.5.485.361
2023-247232.519.75.33.7.482.281
2024-256033.724.25.74.7.463.295
2025-263430.020.65.23.3.481.345
Career32532.019.34.93.6
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Orlando Magic built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

44–38proj record
#9conf seed
+1net rtg
114.4off rtg
113.4def rtg
62%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Switch-heavy — Switches 1–4 (or 1–5) to erase actions and keep bodies in front. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac.
How his role moves
Projected 44–38, 9th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
64 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
3 accolades
1× All-Rookie First Team (2022) · 🥇 World Cup gold (2023) · 🥇 EuroBasket gold (2025)
Act IV

The Ballad of Franz Wagner

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Aug 27, 2001

The beginning

A 6-foot-10 two-way forward and co-star — scoring, size, and German international pedigree.

Orlando Magic

Turning pro

Drafted 8th overall, 2021 as a Forward.

true

A 6-foot-10 two-way forward and co-star — scoring, size, and German gold.

Chapter

From Berlin via Michigan, Wagner was drafted 8th in 2021, following brother Moritz to the NBA.

Chapter

He made the 2022 All-Rookie First Team and grew into a ~24-point scorer.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Day-To-Day · INJURY_STATUS_DAYTODAYWagner (calf) has been ruled out for Game 7 of the first round of the Eastern Conference playoffs Sunday against the Pistons, Jason Beede of the Orlando Sentinel reports.
Height
6' 10"
Weight
220 lbs
College
Michigan
Experience
5th Season
Draft
8th overall, 2021
Born
Berlin, Germany
Age
25
Jersey
#22
Beyond the game

Wagner is part of a basketball family — his older brother Moritz is also an NBA player and his Orlando teammate, and both took the path from Germany through Michigan to the league. An Academic All-American in college, he is one of the faces of German basketball's golden era, having won back-to-back major international titles.

His on-court identity is versatile two-way wing play — a 6-foot-10 forward who scores at three levels, creates as a secondary playmaker, and defends multiple positions with his size. Though he has been an All-Star-caliber snub rather than a selection so far, his rising scoring load and international pedigree mark him as Orlando's co-star and a perennial All-Star candidate.

The person

A versatile two-way forward — three-level scoring, secondary playmaking, and defense.

Two-way wingA 6-foot-10 forward who scores and defends multiple positions.
Rising scorerGrew into a ~24-point-a-game lead option.
German championWon gold at the 2023 World Cup and EuroBasket 2025.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Franz Wagner — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Franz Wagner, answered.

Is Franz Wagner related to Moritz Wagner?
Yes — Moritz is his older brother and Orlando Magic teammate; both went from Germany to Michigan to the NBA.
What has Franz Wagner won internationally?
Gold with Germany at the 2023 FIBA World Cup and EuroBasket 2025.
Is Franz Wagner an All-Star?
Not yet — he has been an All-Star-caliber near-miss so far, but his rising scoring and Orlando's climb make a selection look like a matter of time.
Franz Wagner career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Franz Wagner

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
79%
5 seasons
Last 3 seasons
67%
80 games missed
Games missed
85
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
declining
Availability by season
79
21-22
80
22-23
72
23-24
60
24-25
34
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is declining67% of games over the last three seasons, low of 41% in 2025-26.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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