The Index · Live

Larry Nance Jr. Indiana Pacers · #22

Forward · 6'6", 245 lb · Akron, OH · Age 33 · 13th season

Larry Nance Jr. is a forward for the Indiana Pacers who has played 581 games over 11 seasons, averaging 3.7 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 2025-26.

MVP race · #362Forward rank · #159Balladex Impact · 48
⚖ Quick compare
L
Larry Nance Jr.
◆ Rated
Indiana Pacers · #22 · Forward
Larry Nance Jr.
Season avg3.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.0 ast · .419 fg
Career avg7.5 pts · 5.9 reb · 1.8 ast · .536 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
3.7pts
2.7reb
1.0ast
LADDER#362 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 48 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLarry Nance Jr. · Indiana PacersLADDER#362 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 48 — Rotation piece tierINDEXLarry Nance Jr. · Indiana Pacers
Scouting report

Larry Nance Jr. — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

D
Forward · Rotation piece · Impact 48
Larry Nance Jr. is a forward for the Indiana Pacers who has played 581 games over 11 seasons, averaging 3.7 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 20
C-
Offense
C-
Defense
C-
Feel / IQ
C-
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
C-
Scoring
Below average scorer
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C-
Rebounding
Below average on the glass
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C-
3PT / spacing
Below average spacing
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C-
Perimeter D
Below average on the perimeter
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C-
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C-
Clutch
Below average late
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C-
Athleticism
Below average tools
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C-
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
tap for the data ↓
C-
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Larry Nance Jr. stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬
43%
2
Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬
23%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬
19%
4
Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬
7%
5
Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers▬
2%
✦ Balladex Consensus: #433 of 627 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
—MVP odds
48Impact index
19Star score
Career scoring average7.5 ppg
Seasons in the index13
Accolades on file0
Stat explorer

Larry Nance Jr. — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

C-
Scoring
3.7 PPG
drill in ↓
C-
Playmaking
1.0 APG
drill in ↓
C-
Rebounding
2.7 RPG
drill in ↓
C-
Shooting
.333 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Larry Nance Jr.

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  68% confidence
3.4
pts
1.5–5.3
2.3
reb
1.4–3.2
0.9
ast
0.2–1.6
11.7
min
proj
36
gp
health
.515
fg%
~base
.379
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 11-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 3.7 → projected 3.4 PPG
Minutes / role
-0.3
Development (his trend)
+0.0
Age curve
-0.1
Live context
+0.1
Net vs last season-0.3 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
13 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
⚖
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 33 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 61 / 24 / 35 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Larry Nance Jr. career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2015-166320.15.55.00.7.527.100
2016-176322.97.15.91.5.526.278
2017-18 (LA Lakers)4222.08.66.81.4.601.250
2017-18 (Cleveland)2420.88.97.01.0.550.125
2018-196726.89.48.23.2.520.337
2019-205626.310.17.32.2.531.352
2020-213531.29.36.73.1.471.360
2021-22 (Portland)3723.26.95.62.0.515.306
2021-22 (New Orleans)920.17.34.30.9.551.500
2022-236521.26.85.41.8.610.333
2023-246119.95.75.01.9.573.415
2024-252419.38.54.31.6.516.447
2025-263512.83.72.71.0.419.333
Career58122.47.55.91.8
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
—raw PPG
→
—in 2026 pace
why
Player DNA + compssimilarity model
Closest comps
⚖ Overlay a rival →
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the Indiana Pacers built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

22–60proj record
#13conf seed
-7.5net rtg
110.2off rtg
117.8def rtg
1%playoff odds
Roster delta · what changed
Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Ivica Zubac, Andrew Nembhard.
How his role moves
Projected 22–60, 13th in the East. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.
Balladex Impact
48 of 99
Rotation piece tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
0 accolades
Career honors on file.
Act IV

The Ballad of Larry Nance Jr.

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

1993-01-01

The beginning

Larry Nance Jr.

Indiana Pacers

Turning pro

Drafted 27th overall, 2015 as a Forward.

true

Larry Nance Jr. is a forward for the Indiana Pacers.

Chapter

He has played 581 games over 11 seasons (2015-26), averaging 22.4 minutes a night. The season-by-season table below carries every per-game figure, each one reconciled against ESPN.

Chapter

In 2025-26 he played 35 games, averaging 3.7 points, 2.7 rebounds and 1.0 assists in 12.8 minutes.

▶
▶
Jr.'s story
The documentary, narrated
Highlights
▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 6"
Weight
245 lbs
College
Wyoming
Experience
12th Season
NBA debut
2015
Draft
27th overall, 2015
Born
Akron, OH
Age
33
Jersey
#22
Beyond the game

Larry Nance Jr. is from Akron, OH, born 1993-01-01, listed at 6'6" and 245 lb. He has 12 seasons of NBA service. This background is assembled from league records; the colour that fills a page like this comes later, from a human.

The person

A forward on 22.4 career minutes a night, read from the box score rather than the eye test.

Bench depth12.8 minutes a night; situational.
Floor spacerShooting 33.3% from three.
Veteran12 seasons of NBA service.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Larry Nance Jr. — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Larry Nance Jr., answered.

What position does Larry Nance Jr. play?
Larry Nance Jr. is a forward for the Indiana Pacers.
How many NBA games has Larry Nance Jr. played?
581 regular-season games over 11 seasons, averaging 22.4 minutes.
How many NBA seasons has Larry Nance Jr. played?
11 seasons (2015-26).
How tall is Larry Nance Jr.?
6'6", 245 lb
Larry Nance Jr. career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Larry Nance Jr.

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
66%
13 seasons
Last 3 seasons
49%
126 games missed
Games missed
308
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Injury-prone
declining
Availability by season
24
17-18 (Cleveland)
67
18-19
56
19-20
35
20-21
37
21-22 (Portland)
9
21-22 (New Orleans)
65
22-23
61
23-24
24
24-25
35
25-26

Injury-prone. Availability trend is declining — 49% of games over the last three seasons, low of 18% in 2021-22 (New Orleans).

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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