The Index · Live

Nikola Topic Oklahoma City Thunder · #44

Guard · 6'6", 200 lb · Age 21 · 1st season

Nikola Topic is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder who has played 10 games over 1 season, averaging 5.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists in 2025-26.

Oklahoma City Thunder roster More Guards

MVP race · #309Guard rank · #172Balladex Impact · 51

⚖ Quick compare

Analysis by Beau Thoutt · Balladex

◆ Rated

Oklahoma City Thunder · #44 · Guard

Nikola Topic

Season avg5.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 4.4 ast · .431 fg

Career avg5.2 pts · 1.9 reb · 4.4 ast · .431 fg

Live win probabilityRockets 54%

Balladex model · projected 116–116 · 98.2 pace

Tonight's projectionmodel

5.3pts

1.5reb

4.0ast

46%win

Tonight's matchup · who he'll mainly guardhead-to-head

Nikola Topic

Oklahoma City Thunder · Guard

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Amen Thompson

Houston Rockets · Strong defender

Category breakout

Head-to-head history

Home/away splits from recent games; live grades from the DNA model.

LADDER#309 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 51 — Rotation piece tierINDEXNikola Topic · Oklahoma City ThunderLADDER#309 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 51 — Rotation piece tierINDEXNikola Topic · Oklahoma City Thunder

Scouting report

Nikola Topic — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

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Guard · Rotation piece · Impact 51

Nikola Topic is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder who has played 10 games over 1 season, averaging 5.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists in 202

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Offense

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Defense

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Feel / IQ

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Playmaking

Below average creator

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Scoring

Below average scorer

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Rebounding

Below average on the glass

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3PT / spacing

Below average spacing

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Perimeter D

Below average on the perimeter

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Paint / rim D

Below average at the rim

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Clutch

Below average late

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Athleticism

Below average tools

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Basketball IQ

Reads the game

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Durability

Availability

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Act II

Where Nikola Topic stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly

Nikola Jokić Denver Nuggets▬

43%

Giannis Antetokounmpo Miami Heat▬

23%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder▬

19%

Luka Doncic Los Angeles Lakers▬

Joel Embiid Philadelphia 76ers▬

✦ Balladex Consensus: #358 of 627 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.

Futures & chases

—MVP odds

51Impact index

22Star score

Career scoring average5.2 ppg

Seasons in the index1

Accolades on file0

Stat explorer

Nikola Topic — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

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Scoring

5.2 PPG

drill in ↓

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Playmaking

4.4 APG

drill in ↓

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Rebounding

1.9 RPG

drill in ↓

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Shooting

.400 3P%

drill in ↓

The engine

How the model sees Nikola Topic

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27 confidence

Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 1-season history below.

What moves the points line vs last season

Everything it reads

📊

1 seasons of per-minute rates

every box line, minutes-normalized

real

⚖

Recency × games-played weight

recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline

auto

📈

Weighted least-squares trend

his own trajectory, read season over season

+dev

🕰

Per-stat aging curves

age 21 — applied per stat

curve

🔌

Live role context

usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present

+ctx

🏥

Durability signal

GP last 3: 10 → games & confidence

health

The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Nikola Topic career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
Season	GP	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG%	3P%
2025-26	10	16.0	5.2	1.9	4.4	.431	.400
Career	10	16.0	5.2	1.9	4.4

Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.

Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.

EraLab · the stat time machinenovel

Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.

—raw PPG

→

—in 2026 pace

why

Player DNA + compssimilarity model

Closest comps

⚖ Overlay a rival →

Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart

Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.

Role simulatorpowered by GM engine

Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.

If a key teammate misses 20 games →

Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.

Context

Are the Oklahoma City Thunder built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

70–12proj record

#1conf seed

+12.5net rtg

118.3off rtg

105.8def rtg

99%playoff odds

Roster delta · what changed

Drop coverage — Sits the big back to wall off the rim and lives with contested mid-range looks.. Core trending improving. Defensive anchors: Alex Caruso, Chet Holmgren.

How his role moves

Projected 70–12, 1st in the West. Real team projection from the roster + last-season baselines. His usage, minutes and creation load move with roster health.

Balladex Impact

51 of 99

Rotation piece tier.

Rarity

◆ Rated

Collectible tier.

Résumé

0 accolades

Career honors on file.

Act IV

The Ballad of Nikola Topic

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

2005-08-10

The beginning

Nikola Topic is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Turning pro

Drafted 12th overall, 2024 as a Guard.

true

Nikola Topic is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Chapter

He has played 10 games over 1 season (2025-26), averaging 16.0 minutes a night. The season-by-season table below carries every per-game figure, each one reconciled against ESPN.

Chapter

In 2025-26 he played 10 games, averaging 5.2 points, 1.9 rebounds and 4.4 assists in 16.0 minutes.

▶

Topic's story

The documentary, narrated

Highlights

▶ Highlights landing soon

Off the court

Measurables ESPN

Day-To-Day · INJURY_STATUS_DAYTODAYTopic (back) won't play Tuesday against Indiana, Clemente Almanza of USA Today reports.

Height: 6' 6"
Weight: 200 lbs
Experience: 2nd Season
Draft: 12th overall, 2024
Age: 21
Jersey: #44

Beyond the game

Nikola Topic, born 2005-08-10, listed at 6'6" and 200 lb. He has 2 seasons of NBA service. This background is assembled from league records; the colour that fills a page like this comes later, from a human.

The person

A guard on 16.0 career minutes a night, read from the box score rather than the eye test.

Bench depth16.0 minutes a night; situational.

Secondary creator4.4 assists per game.

Floor spacerShooting 40.0% from three.

Verified profiles & sources

ESPN

FAQ

Nikola Topic — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Nikola Topic, answered.

What position does Nikola Topic play?

Nikola Topic is a guard for the Oklahoma City Thunder.

How many NBA games has Nikola Topic played?

10 regular-season games over 1 season, averaging 16.0 minutes.

How many NBA seasons has Nikola Topic played?

1 season (2025-26).

How tall is Nikola Topic?

6'6", 200 lb

Nikola Topic career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.

Nikola Topic Oklahoma City Thunder · #44

Nikola Topic — the report card

Where Nikola Topic stands

Nikola Topic — every number, three levels deep

How the model sees Nikola Topic

Nikola Topic career stats, season by season

The Lab

Are the Oklahoma City Thunder built to win?

The Ballad of Nikola Topic

The beginning

Turning pro

true

Chapter

Chapter

Off the court

Nikola Topic — frequently asked

Availability & durability

More Oklahoma City Thunder players

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