The Index · Live

Trey Murphy IIINew Orleans Saints · #25

Forward · 6'8", 206 lb · Durham, North Carolina · Age 26 · 5th season

Trey Murphy III is a 6-foot-8 3-and-D wing turned primary scorer for the New Orleans Pelicans — an elite shooter and explosive athlete. Drafted 17th in 2021 out of Virginia, where he was a rare 50-40-90 shooter, he leaped to a career-high 21-plus points a game, became the franchise's all-time three-point leader, and signed a four-year, $112 million extension.

MVP race · #83Forward rank · #36Balladex Impact · 64
⚖ Quick compare
T
Trey Murphy III
◆ Rated
New Orleans Saints · #25 · Forward
Trey Murphy III
Season avg21.5 pts · 5.7 reb · 3.8 ast · .470 fg
Career avg15.4 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.2 ast · .451 fg
Live win probabilitySeason
No scheduled game — showing season pace. Illustrative.
Tonight's projectionmodel
21.5pts
5.7reb
3.8ast
LADDER#83 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXTrey Murphy III · New Orleans SaintsLADDER#83 in the Balladex MVP raceIMPACTBalladex Impact 64 — Solid starter tierINDEXTrey Murphy III · New Orleans Saints
Scouting report

Trey Murphy III — the report card

Read his whole game at a glance, then dive into any skill. Grades from the DNA model + real production.

C
Lead Wing Scorer · 3-and-D · Impact 64
Trey Murphy III is a 6-foot-8 3-and-D wing turned primary scorer for the New Orleans Pelicans — an elite shooter and explosive athlete. Drafted 17th i
C
Offense
C
Defense
C
Feel / IQ
C-
Playmaking
Below average creator
tap for the data ↓
B-
Scoring
Strong scorer
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C
Rebounding
Average on the glass
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C+
3PT / spacing
Average spacing
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C+
Perimeter D
Strong on the perimeter
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D
Paint / rim D
Below average at the rim
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C+
Clutch
Average late
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C+
Athleticism
Strong tools
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C
Basketball IQ
Reads the game
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A-
Durability
Availability
tap for the data ↓
Act II

Where Trey Murphy III stands

Live ladders from the Balladex models, and what he's chasing. Rankings recompute nightly from real production, accolades, and search demand.

The laddersmodel · recomputes nightly
1
Nikola Jokić DEN
29%
2
Luka Doncic LAL
20%
3
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC
12%
4
Giannis Antetokounmpo MIA
4%
5
Victor Wembanyama SAS
3%
6
Anthony Edwards MIN
2%
7
Tyrese Maxey PHI
2%
8
Jamal Murray DEN
2%
Balladex Consensus: #86 of 384 — a blend of the Impact index, current production, career résumé and live search demand. Recomputes as the data does.
Futures & chases
<1%MVP odds
64Impact index
142Star score
Career scoring average15.4 ppg
Seasons in the index5
Accolades on file2
17th Draft pick (2021) · 1× Dunk Contest finalist (2023)
Stat explorer

Trey Murphy III — every number, three levels deep

Headline → metric → the raw history behind it. Real career data; tracking-only metrics labeled.

B-
Scoring
21.5 PPG
drill in ↓
C-
Playmaking
3.8 APG
drill in ↓
C
Rebounding
5.7 RPG
drill in ↓
C+
Shooting
.379 3P%
drill in ↓
The engine

How the model sees Trey Murphy III

Projection = per-minute rate × projected minutes. Rates are recency- and health-weighted, aged along a per-stat curve, and adjusted for live usage/role. No black box — every number shows its work.

Projected 2026-27  67% confidence
23.7
pts
20.9–26.5
6.1
reb
5.0–7.2
4.4
ast
3.5–5.3
36.9
min
proj
60
gp
health
.462
fg%
~base
.377
3p%
~base
Bands widen as confidence drops. Derived live from the real 5-season history below.
What moves the points line vs last season
Last season 21.5 → projected 23.7 PPG
Minutes / role
+0.9
Development (his trend)
+0.8
Age curve
+0.1
Live context
+0.4
Net vs last season+2.2 PPG
Everything it reads
📊
5 seasons of per-minute rates
every box line, minutes-normalized
real
Recency × games-played weight
recent, healthy seasons anchor the baseline
auto
📈
Weighted least-squares trend
his own trajectory, read season over season
+dev
🕰
Per-stat aging curves
age 26 — applied per stat
curve
🔌
Live role context
usage & role shifts fold in when the feed is present
+ctx
🏥
Durability signal
GP last 3: 57 / 53 / 66 → games & confidence
health
The real history it trains onsource: Basketball-Reference · verified

Trey Murphy III career stats, season by season

Career stats by season
SeasonGPMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
2021-226213.95.42.40.6.393.382
2022-237931.014.53.61.4.484.406
2023-245729.614.84.92.2.443.380
2024-255335.021.25.13.5.454.361
2025-266635.521.55.73.8.470.379
Career31729.015.44.32.2
Source: Basketball-Reference. Backtested against completed player-seasons in the index. The same engine powers Tonight's projection, EraLab, and the role simulator — one model, asked different questions. Illustrative.
Act III

The Lab

Every number, live and interactive. Real career data; models labeled.

Gold = MVP / Championship season · hover any bar. Real per-game data; per-36 & totals derived.
EraLab · the stat time machinenovel
Re-express a season in today's pace-and-space.
raw PPG
in 2026 pace
why
Scoring map · clickable zonesShotChart
Team-tinted. Modeled where tracking data is absent.
Role simulatorpowered by GM engine
Change the roster around him — his projection updates live.
Projected line shifts to — usage , assists rise as primary initiator. Title odds . Illustrative.
Context

Are the New Orleans Saints built to win?

Team projection rolled up from the roster + last-season baselines — and what it means for his role.

15–67proj record
-42.5net index
50off index
8def index
94pace
Aggressive hedge & helpscheme
Roster delta · what changed
Aggressive hedge & help — Hedges hard on ball screens and rotates aggressive help from the weak side. Defensive anchors: Alvin Kamara, Anfernee Jennings.
How his role moves
Primary forward role on a team grading 50 offense / 8 defense. No calibrated baseline for this team yet — record is modeled.
Balladex Impact
64 of 99
Solid starter tier.
Rarity
◆ Rated
Collectible tier.
Résumé
2 accolades
17th Draft pick (2021) · 1× Dunk Contest finalist (2023)
Act IV

The Ballad of Trey Murphy III

Birth to now — the making of a legend, narrated and scored.

Jun 18, 2000

The beginning

An elite-shooting 3-and-D wing turned primary scorer — floor spacing and scoring for the Pelicans.

New Orleans Saints

Turning pro

Drafted 17th overall, 2021 as a Forward.

true

An elite-shooting 3-and-D wing turned primary scorer — floor spacing and scoring for the Pelicans.

Chapter

A 50-40-90 shooter at Virginia, Murphy was drafted 17th in 2021 and traded to New Orleans.

Chapter

He grew from a floor-spacer into a featured scorer, leaping to 21-plus a game.

Off the court

Measurables ESPN
Active
Height
6' 8"
Weight
206 lbs
College
Virginia
Experience
5th Season
Draft
17th overall, 2021
Born
Durham, North Carolina
Age
26
Jersey
#25
Beyond the game

Murphy is the son of a former East Carolina player and goes by 'Trey' (the third) in a family of Kenneths. A high-flying athlete who reached the Slam Dunk Contest finals, he pairs that explosiveness with one of the purest shooting strokes in the league — a combination that made him a coveted young wing.

His on-court identity is elite shooting and expanding shot creation — a 6-foot-8 wing with catch-and-shoot and movement shooting (a career 38% from three on high volume), transition scoring, and growing self-creation. His four-year, $112 million extension reflects his evolution into a first- or second-scoring option; health (a 2024-25 shoulder surgery) is the main variable.

The person

An elite-shooting, athletic wing — catch-and-shoot and movement shooting with growing shot creation.

Elite shooterA career 38% from three on high volume; a college 50-40-90 season.
Explosive athleteA Slam Dunk Contest finalist.
Rising scorerLeaped to 21-plus points a game as a featured option.
Verified profiles & sources
FAQ

Trey Murphy III — frequently asked

The questions people ask most about Trey Murphy III, answered.

What is Trey Murphy III known for?
Elite shooting turned primary scoring — a 6-foot-8 wing with a career 38% from three who leaped to 21-plus points a game and became the Pelicans' all-time three-point leader.
What did Trey Murphy III do in college?
At Virginia he posted a rare 50-40-90 shooting season before being drafted 17th overall in 2021.
Is Trey Murphy III a good athlete?
Yes — he's an explosive leaper who competed as a finalist in the NBA Slam Dunk Contest.
Trey Murphy III career stats & accolades are real, and team projections and recent-game home/away splits are computed from real production. DNA ratings, grades, tonight's projection, ladders, live win probability and simulator outputs are Balladex model output. Not affiliated with the NBA.
✦ Companion
Ask about Trey Murphy III

Availability & durability

games played vs season length
Career availability
77%
5 seasons
Last 3 seasons
72%
70 games missed
Games missed
93
career, schedule-adj.
Durability
Some risk
steady
Availability by season
62
21-22
79
22-23
57
23-24
53
24-25
66
25-26

Some risk. Availability trend is steady72% of games over the last three seasons, low of 65% in 2024-25.

Availability = games played ÷ season length (schedule-adjusted for lockout and COVID seasons). A durability signal from real game data, not a medical assessment.

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